Above is the running average for the DNC 2020 Primary, which will be updated whenever a new poll arises. The graph is not weighted in any particular way.
Biden appears to be holding steady at 30%, though he’s been slipping in several online based polls. After Sanders recent battle with heart disease, he appears to be sliding in the polls as much of his support is flocking to Warren. The Massachusetts Senator is now neck and neck in most polls with the Former Vice President, even surpassing him in many.
Harris is consistently hovering around 5% with no signs of improving. She even fell below Southbend Mayor Pete Buttigeg.
Andrew Yang of the #YangGang is a strong contender among B-Rated candidates, edging out O’Rourke, and Booker.
Mere weeks after President Trump’s National Emergency declaration regarding the messy state our Southern Border and immigration system is in, reports continue to come in backing his claim that we are living in crisis times.
According to Acting Director of ICE Ron Vitiello,”in the last 90 days… ICE has released 108,500 family units in the U.S..” Under the terminology Director Vitiello used, ‘family units,’ the actual number of individual illegal aliens being released is likely much higher. Family units are typically 4 people, so the high end estimate could be 400,000 people in the last 90 days. The migrants are being released with a notice and request to reappear in front of an immigration judge at a later date, but because there is no way to track them, many will likely not return. Because of the Flores Agreement from 1997, family units cannot be held longer than 20 day. But, as Vitiello said, many don’t even stay in custody for the 20 days because holding facilities are at peak capacity.
Earlier this year, in the immigration deal which ended the shutdown, President Trump signed a democrat lead bill which cut the number of beds in ICE facilities by almost 20%.
While democrats are fighting the recent National Emergency declaration which will divert nearly $6 billion away from the military and towards the construction of a physical barrier along the border, ICE Director Vitello can be found agreeing with the sentiment of the declaration, saying “there absolutely is a crisis at the border.” As someone who lives and breathes border security, his voice carries a heavier weight than someone with little to no knowledge of on the ground situations.
During the fight over the shutdown, the media failed to report that February border crossings hit a decade long high of 66,000 illegal alien crossings. That’s almost 2,300 a day.
In response to the crisis, the Pentagon had announced $1 billion in funding for 57 miles of border barriers to block narcotic routes. The Department of Defense cites their authority granted by Congress to use allocated funded for counter drug purposes, meaning this $1 billion shift is not part of the national emergency declaration, rather it is a separate expenditure.
Vitiello said “the increase in the flow of migrants and the change in those who are arriving at our border are putting migrants, particularly young children, at risk of harm from smugglers, traffickers, criminals, and the dangers of the difficult journey.” Not only is the system strained, American citizens being victimized, but the migrant crisis is harmful to those making the journey.
In the latest string of Social Media censorship of right-wing ideas and figures, the anti-abortion, pro-life movie ‘Unplanned’ had its official Twitter account suspended on Saturday, March 30th of its opening weekend. With controversy over Twitter and Facebook’s treatment of conservatives coming under fire after a long list of right wing personalities getting deplatformed, often without cause and without reasoning, the pattern has begun to look like a dangerous trend to the free expression of ideas
The movie, which opened in theaters yesterday, tells the true story behind Abby Johnson, one of Planned Parenthood’s youngest clinic directors as she transforms her views on something she formerly thought of as a woman’s inalienable right. During her career, Johnson was involved in over 22,000 abortions.
‘Unplanned’ follows her shift from a staunch abortion activist to one of the nations leading pro-life advocates after witnessing the procedure, and the baby “twisting and fighting for its life,” as said in the trailer. Seeing the brutal act in person, and subsequently having an unplanned pregnancy herself, Johnson now rethinks her career and her part in the murder of thousands of unborn children.
When a movie takes such strong stance against Planned Parenthood and the the hundreds of thousands of abortions they commit every year, it is no surprise social media will take action to muffle their voice. Luckily, the film’s Twitter account was reinstated hours after its removal thanks to the thousands of outraged fans.
According to The Daily Wire, despite Unplanned reaching over 1,000 theaters this weekend, all stations besides Fox are refusing to host advertisements for the culturally important film. All networks owned by Discovery have denied advertisements due to its ‘sensitive nature.’
While abortion has been in the news many times before, and we thought we’d seen it all, a probate court judge in Madison County made history as the first judge to recognize an unborn and aborted fetus as a human with Constitutional rights.
According to WAAY 31, Ryan Magers attempted to sue an abortion clinic where his would be child was terminated at the request of his girlfriend. The suit comes two years after the abortion took place. “I’m here for the men who actually want to have their baby,” he told WAAY 31. He names “Alabama Women’s Center, their employees and the pharmaceutical company who makes the medication used in an abortion” as the defendants.
The suit claims Mager pleaded with his girlfriend to “not kill Baby Roe,” the name dubbed his child in the document, but the mother went ahead with the abortion at 6-weeks using a pill provided by the clinic.
They are suing for ‘wrongful death’ as under Alabama state law, known as Amendment 2, all fertilized fetuses have the same rights as people. Though it was passed last year, this law was never applied within a court system.
Until now. For the first time, Probate Judge Frank Barger has allowed the case to proceed, meaning he has created legal precedent in the state for fathers to sue on behalf of their aborted children. Because of the decision, Alabama Women’s Center, the main defendant, must legally respond to the suit by April 1st.
President Trump’s former ‘fixer,’ Michael Cohen, testified before Congress for the first time since pleading guilty to lying before Congress and receiving a sentence of 3-years for perjury. In his opening statement, which was released before his official testimony, Cohen likely exonerated President Trump of most, if not all legal concerns.
There were three main concerns: did Trump instruct Cohen to lie to Congress, did Trump collude with Russia, and did Trump violate campaign finance laws. On top of these questions, Cohen also raised several other concerns relating to alleged racist comments, unethical business tactics, and other various incidents nobody actually cared about. Trump is not necessarily the nicest person, we all know this. Viewers were not interested in a character testimony.
In the words of Michael Cohen, “Mr. Trump did not directly tell me to lie to Congress. That’s not how he operates.” This is a blunt admission that Trump did not conspire to commit perjury, in regards to private dealings where he planned to build a hotel in Moscow, one of the main criminal accusations levied against him. Building the hotel is not evidence of wrongdoing, lying about it before Congress is. This would be similar to how Bill Clinton got impeached.
In a follow up, Cohen stated “in conversations we had during the campaign, at the same time I was actively negotiating in Russia for him, he would look me in the eye and tell 5 me there’s no business in Russia and then go out and lie to the American people by saying the same thing. In his way, he was telling me to lie.” Cohen, while trying to imply guilt, continued to admit there was no direct or actual order to lie.
The second legal claim is President Trump is in cahoots with Russia. “He never expected to win the primary” Cohen said about Trump, ‘”e never expected to win the general election.” For someone to make a quid pro quo deal with Putin, one would have to anticipate a victory. Cohen claims Trump ran as a marketing ploy, so there is no motivation nor intention to win and craft favorable policy toward Russia in exchange for assistance in a victory. For this to be collusion, Trump would have to offer something up in return, if he was not taking the race seriously, there would be nothing to offer.
When pressed on whether he saw evidence of collusion, Cohen denied it saying “I wouldn’t use the word colluding.” As of now, without knowing what exactly is in the final Mueller report, there is no evidence of collusion. Which was the whole reason for the massive investigation.
Regarding a controversial Trump Tower meeting between Donald Trump Jr. and a Russian lawyer, Cohen recalls “Don Jr. came into the room and walked behind his father’s desk – which in itself was unusual. People didn’t just walk behind Mr. Trump’s desk to talk to him. I recalled Don Jr. leaning over to his father and speaking in a low voice, which I could clearly hear, and saying: ‘The meeting is all set.” I remember Mr. Trump saying, “Ok good…let me know.'” Reference to a meeting, which Cohen has zero knowledge of, and it can be argued, with his history of perjury, never happened, is not enough evidence to support President Trump’s knowledge of the meeting.
Roger Stone, a close advisor to President Trump, as arrested for perjury, a common case being rallied against Trump associates. Mueller claims Stone knew about Wikileaks email dumps and discussed it with the campaign, which Stone denied under oath. Cohen claimed, “Mr. Trump knew from Roger Stone in advance about the WikiLeaks drop of emails.”
In Trumps Office, Cohen recalls Trump putting Stone on speakerphone where “Mr. Stone told Mr. Trump that he had just gotten off the phone with Julian Assange and that Mr. Assange told Mr. Stone that, within a couple of days, there would be a massive dump of emails that would damage Hillary Clinton’s campaign.” What was Trump’s reaction?
“Mr. Trump responded by stating to the effect of ‘wouldn’t that be great.'” Being told of an email dump and calling that possibility “great” does not rise to the level of Russia/WikiLeaks collusion being claimed by Democrats. Knowledge of something possibly happening is not a crime, nor anywhere near the level of actively coordinating with Assange.
Because Trump has a long history of paying off women he slept with, and many other semi-shady business dealings, paying off a pornstar to protect his reputation is a reasonable assumption when it comes to the motives behind the $135,000 hush money. Cohen admits he followed Trump’s orders “without bothering to consider whether that was improper.” As a lawyer, it is his responsibility to know whether campaign actions are illegal or not. Trump is in no way a legal expert, and with Cohen not stating he advised against it, it can only be assumed Trump was ignorant to the fact that it could be wrong. Even then, paying off people to protect your reputation, especially because Cohen claimed Trump did not assume he would win, is not a campaign expenditure.
Recovering from the longest government shutdown in American history less than a month ago, lawmakers have been working around the clock to meet Trump’s 3-week deadline for a new deal on border security and wall funding.
A few days ago, members of Congress had reached “an agreement in principle.” Negotiated by the House and Senate Appropriations Committees, the spending bill will encompass 7 separate areas of spending, including the DHS.
Trump, who held a rally in El Passo, Texas last night, spoke under a banner which read “Finish the Wall,” had feuded with Democrats over $5.7 billion for over 200 miles of wall funding. This spending bill only allocates $1.375 billion for “physical barriers.”
Newly elected Congressmen Dan Crenshaw had tweeted out in response to potential Presidental candidate Beto O’Rorke showing a sharp decline in border crossings after the El Paso wall was built.
Though President Trump will get enough funding for 55 miles of the steel slates he requested, this is still a sharp decline in what he initially wanted. The spending bill will also cap the number of ICE beds at detention facilities at 40,520. A decrease from the prior years 49,057. This is a clear move to force ICE to release detainees and illegal aliens into the public due to a lack of housing space.
Trump had told reporters he is “not happy” with the tentative deal, but sources close to the President told CNN he intends to sign the deal in order to avoid another massive government shutdown.
A new report by the Congressional Budget Office projects the majority of new debt for the federal government will be the result of spending, not the Trump tax cuts signed into law the previous year. With total outstanding debt estimated at over $21 trillion and a 10-year projected average of $900 billion in budgetary deficits, it is clear no plans are being made to manage this burden.
Though there was a small, and undeniable, decrease in overall revenue for the previous year, it did not deviate far from the 50-year norm. In the 10-year projection for revenue, we maintain the running average of 17.4% of GDP in federal tax revenue. We’re expected to go above average as early as 2025.
As far as spending is concerned, the next 10 years are all expected to surpass the running 50-year average of 20.3% of GDP in federal spending. The average deficit for the next 10-years is predicted to be a relatively consistent 4.4% of GDP. Spending will hit a peak of 23% of GDP in 2028. Using the CBO’s 2% growth estimates, our federal budget will be $5.6 trillion in 2029, with a budget deficit of $1.1 trillion. All assuming no recessions and no major new programs.
The two largest sources of spending increases come from Mandatory spendings, such as Social Security and Medicaid, and interest on the debt. Discretionary spending, as a result, is projected to decrease slightly, but not enough to offset other increases.
This does not take into account the several high-cost democratic programs being proposed by 2020 hopefuls. If the Democrats were to take the Presidency and the Senate, spending will surely skyrocket.
Within a week of Kamala Harris officially announcing her candidacy for president in the 2020 election, a shocking admission of corruption has emerged, which may have given her the big break into politics she was after.
Starting off the revealing op-ed, former San Fransico mayor, and former speaker of the California Assembly, Willie Brown, who held public office from 1964 to 2004, wrote “yes, we dated. It was more than 20 years ago. Yes, I may have influenced her career by appointing her to two state commissions when I was Assembly speaker.” This is a clear admission of guilt and abuse of power that should not be swept under the rug.
His piece takes a nonchalant approach to what the San Francisco Weekly described in 2003 as “two patronage positions in state government that paid handsomely — more than $400,000 over five years.” The positions include a seat on the Unemployment Insurance Appeals Board in 1994. Brown then put her on the California Medical Assistance Commission until 1998, which paid a yearly salary of $99,000 for two monthly meetings.
After admitting her aided her political career because they dated, while he was married, Brown concluded his piece by saying “that’s politics for ya.”
At the time of the affair, in the early ’90s, Harris would have been in her early 30’s with Brown in his early 60’s. Some may argue it was an affair of the heart, but how many ambitious 30-year-old women go after politically power 60-year-old men with no hopes of a little quid pro quo. The gross age gap, plus the immediate near 6 figure government salary, along with Brown’s confession are evidence that this was an act of corruption.
A little after 2:30 Eastern, President Trump announced at a White House address that a deal has been made to temporarily reopen the federal government. After 35 days, 50% longer than the previous record, this has been the longest shutdown in our nation’s history.
At this time, 800,000 government workers have been working without pay, meaning they have missed at least two paychecks and morale among government workers is at an all-time low. TSA and FAA agents have been reportedly calling in sick en masse to avoid working without pay, leaving most major airports with long delays.
During his address, President Trump continues to float his ‘alternative’ measure to fund the border wall without the approval of Congress. Declaring a national emergency at the Southern border would, in theory, give him the green light to divert military funding toward the Department of Homeland Security for wall construction.
He thanks “all of the incredible federal employees and their amazing families for such extraordinary devotion in the face of this recent hardship.” Trump calls them “fantastic people” and continues to praise their grit during the unprecedently long shutdown. He acknowledges their sacrifice and the tough time many had gone through. With the unexpectantly long duration, many who might have been living paycheck to paycheck would have gone through a very rough time.
This new budget will fund the government for only 3-weeks, until February 15th. The plan includes back pay for all federal employees, which will come “very quickly” to the 800,000 affected workers.
He says he believes Democrats will now be willing to recognize the need of a physical barrier on the border. A bipartisan committee of both Republicans and Democrats will begin negotiating immigration and border security reform during the 3-week period of government funding and will review requests made from board patrol and Homeland Security officials.
Despite the shutdown being about the wall, no deal has been made up to this point. The wall remains unfunded at this time. President Trump says “the wall should not be controversial” because the US has built over 600 miles of fencing over the last several decades.
He says the wall will keep drugs out and prevent people from making the dangerous journey across the Mexican desert.
He describes it as a “smart wall” with detection technology, and see-through capability that will be built in high-risk locations identified by border patrol agents. He continues to push for the border reform package proposed earlier this week that was block by Pelosi and Schumer.
There is no wall, there is no reform, nor any deal in sight. Democrats have continued to refuse any proposals presented to them.
Schumer gleefully responded to President Trump’s caving. Schumer wanted to block any border security discussion being tied to government funding. He does not want to ‘hold workers hostage’ in the border security battle. He also called the Republican tactics ” self-defeating.”
The age-old trope used by conservatives may be true after all. For years, gun rights activists would counter gun control attempts by claiming criminals don’t care about gun laws; they’ll find black market ways to acquire weapons. People who favor more gun control claim ‘gun show loopholes’ make it too easy for criminals to buy firearms without a background check.
However, a new study vindicated gun control activists. Older reports have found only 18% of criminals had bought their firearms legally, but this study from the Bureau of Justice Statistics goes in deeper.
The study found only 10% of criminals who used a firearm in the crime they’ve been imprisoned for bought their gun from a licensed retailer. Because 1 in 5 inmates had used a firearm in their crime, only 1.3% of criminals “obtained a gun from a retail store and used it during their offense.” The study also found that only 0.8% of criminals who used a firearm in their crime actually purchased it at a gun show. Many Democrats had made public statements regarding a supposed ‘gun show loophole’ which allows anyone to simply walk into a gun show and buy a firearm without a background check. A remarkably small percent of prisoners had actually used this method.
Homicide was the crime with the highest percentage of prisoners who had used a firearm, however, only 1/3 of them had actually used one.
When it comes to which firearm was used in the crime, 88.5% were handguns. 7.7% were shotguns, and 7.2% were rifles. Criminals show a clear preference for handguns over long guns.
6.4% of used guns were stolen, 43.2% were acquired off the black market, and 25% were bought off another individual which is illegal in most cases. Another 7% were taken from a crime scene. Criminals have a plethora of means to find weapons that don’t involve legal purchases.